Why Tinubu will Floor Obi at the 2023 Presidential Election?

Bola Ahmed Tinubu, Presidential Candidate of the All Progressive Congress (APC) is one out of three major presidential candidates in Nigeria’s 2023 general elections. Also known as Jagaban, Tinubu has been involved in the nation’s political activities, since it became a democratic nation. 

Tinubu served as the first democratic governor of Nigeria’s largest commercial city, Lagos state in 1999. During his tenure, he established 37 LGAs and designed a blueprint that is still operational in the state. 

As Nigerians head to the polls in ten days’ time, there have been questions as to who will emerge as the winner at the polls. While the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) announced 18 presidential candidates, the race has been pitted between Asiwaju and Peter Obi of the Labour Party. However, a closer look at Tinubu’s antecedents, support system and predictions showed that Tinubu will floor Peter Obi in the forthcoming elections. Let’s take a look:

Tinubu’s connection would attract foreign investments 

Nigeria is at a critical stage that urgently needs a leader with experience, capacity, knowledge and firmness to pioneer the affairs of the land. And Tinubu happens to be the leader with that portfolio. Reports say he became the Governor of Lagos when the state was on its brink. He brought about strategic development that the state still enjoys to date.

With an understanding of governance, Tinubu will attract foreign investors that will bring about increased capital inflows, technology transfer, increased trade, improved infrastructure and generally stimulate economic growth for the country. Just like he provided a favourable environment for investors in Lagos, Tinubu can also ensure the Nigerian government provides a suitable environment for investors by ensuring political stability, a working regulatory framework and adequate infrastructure.

His antecedents still speak 

Beyond the transformative projects Tinubu pioneered in Lagos State, he has consistently led his party to victory. After leaving office, he has for over 21 years ensured his party won the governorship seat in Lagos. Jagaban has also been described as an astute political strategist, economist and administrator whose contributions to democracy resonate across the country and beyond. Asiwaju has also fostered strong relationships with individuals and ensured that his successors reach their full potential. Some of whom hold notable positions in critical sectors of the nation.

His unique support base

Unlike Peter Obi whose supporters are majorly the youths, Tinubu has a unique support base that cuts across youths and adults, aged, educated, uneducated, past and present political leaders, etc. Over the years, we’ve seen a large turnout of the aged at polling units compared to the youth. Also, the mammoth crowd that has trailed Tinubu’s campaign rally are a large indication that his support base is not limited.

Fitch Rating Prediction

An international credit rating organisation, Fitch Solutions Country Risk and Industry Research earlier predicted Bola Tinubu will win the 2023 presidential election. The report, submitted by a subsidiary of Fitch Ratings, reads in part, “surveys showing that Obi is ahead of his opponents, Bola Tinubu (APC) and Atiku Abubakar (PDP), were mostly based on responses gathered online and since only 36.0% of Nigerians use the Internet (World Bank, 2020), we believe that these results are skewed towards urban, affluent voters who are most likely to support Obi. We also highlight that these polls suggest that a large share of voters remain undecided.”

With little or no access to northern Nigeria, a major voting bloc in Nigeria, Peter Obi’s chances at success remain little. All of these factors, place the APC presidential candidate several miles ahead of him.

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